Get ready: the world’s population is expected to cross the 8 billion mark. The latest UN report recently predicted that this milestone would be reached around November 15, but these things are incredibly difficult to identify with 100% accuracy.
Given current projections and a certain margin of error, it looks like we’re rapidly approaching the 8 billion people mark and could hit it “any day,” according to the The Wall Street Journal.
“This year, World Population Day falls in a pivotal year, as we anticipate the birth of the eight billionth person on Earth. It is a time to celebrate our diversity, recognize our common humanity, and marvel at the advances in health that have extended lifespans and dramatically reduced maternal and child mortality rates,” said the Secretary-General. of the United Nations, António Guterres, in a recent press release. statement.
“At the same time, it’s a reminder of our shared responsibility to care for our planet and a moment to reflect on where we still fall short of our commitments to each other,” he added.
UN projections then suggest that the world’s population could reach around 8.5 billion in 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050 and 10.4 billion in 2100. As part of this monumental shift, China will be overtaken by the India as the most populous country on the planet. by 2023.
Meanwhile, there will be a huge population surge in developing countries. According to the UN, more than half of the projected population increase to 2050 will be concentrated in just eight countries: the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and the United Republic of Tanzania.
Other projections, however, predicted a slightly different future. In 2020, a large study published in The Lancet suggested that the world’s population would increase over the next few decades and peak in 2064 at around 9.7 billion people, before falling to 8.8 billion by 2100. If it becomes true, this would be the first time the world’s population has declined since the mid-14th century during the Black Death.
In both of these scenarios, huge population growth will occur in sub-Saharan Africa and a slower increase will be seen in the Arab world. With this global population shift, we can expect to see a giant tidal shift towards a multipolar world where many superpowers, not just one, reign supreme.
The rest of this future, as always, remains to be written.